Charles R. Twardy

Follow @ctwardy on Micro.blog.

Updated CDC numbers

CDC total deaths snapshot: December weekly #s gained about 4,500 vs. two weeks ago: there are now 4 weeks right near 80K, slightly above the highest April week.

That’s bad. But still hard to square with covidtracking deaths being 50% higher than in April.

Update 19-Feb

Week of 26-Dec is now at 81,406, up by ~1K. The week of 2-Jan is higher now, above 82K, gaining 1-2K.

CDC excess deaths as of 19-Feb #### Update 23-May

December totals are now about +26K versus April, or about +6,500/week. That’s pretty much all the discrepancy I was concerned to explain.

That further supports the live CovidTracking numbers from last autumn.

Screenshot of CDC Excess deaths plot, as of 23-May-2021 showing 1-Jan-2020 to now, highlighting week ending 26-Dec-2020 with 84,715 predicted final death count.