: An interesting metaphor for the AI race by HGreer, found via LessWong.
: Old Bell Notebooks Site Good grief! They’re still there! Kind-of. The notebook figures don’t seem to load, nor …
: Simulating Science In case I’m ever blessed with teaching again, “The Truth Box” seems a great …
: Democrats will do the most good if they can stop sounding like Democrats for the time being, with …
: Ugh. Research-integrity analysts are warning that ‘journal snatchers’ — companies that acquire …
: ❝ There is something unique about the color purple: Our brain makes it up. So you might just …
: Movements are relationships, Jay Ulfelder: ❝ ..protests usually aren’t ... good spaces for …
: Bookmarks: Microsoft paper on effects of LLMs on critical thinking. The average college student is …
: Turkle describes one of the many small consequences in an American city: “Kara, in her 50s, feels …
: Bookmark. dueling letters – The Homebound Symphony
: Our church choir director seems to have a Bach habit. Who am I to refuse the glory of God so freely …
: AP headline editor fail: ~APnews.com March 11, 2025
: Krebs on Security today: It’s also startling how closely DOGE’s approach so far hews to tactics …
: Jay Ulfelder notes that protest coverage poorly matches protest activity, and normalizes the status …
: After about a year my home family has watched all of Agatha Christie’s Poirot, and a couple …
: Some perspective from Alan Jacobs: ❝ I don’t believe there’s anything more morally corrupting …
: Justice & Facts ❝ If justice is not based on the facts, if principles of justice are not applied universally, there …
: The start of Cloudflare’s robots.txt file: :-) HTT: UL newsletter
: Chuck Marohn of Strong Towns writes I’m Done With Twitter, but Not for the Reasons You Might Think …
: Fooling AI Cyber-security is a broken-window fallacy, but there’s something delightful about this little …
: Timescale argues that special vector databases are the wrong idea because vectors are more like a …
: For some reason it’s hard to hold this in mind. ❝ In MAGAworld, declarative statements ... …
: Earlier AJ linked from a recent post. Insightful as usual. teachers at the margins – The Homebound …
: Bizarre editing glitch in a new Science article about possible image manipulation in Alzheimer’s …
: ❝ the peril of AI is the same as the promise of AI: it’s a thoughtlessness enabler. ❝ The …
: Interesting abstract from Herzenstein et al suggests that replicable studies are transparent and …
: Daniel Lakens on why we won’t move beyond p<.05. Key: few really offered alternatives. Part …
: In-depth review of pending Metascience reforms at NIH by Stuart Buck at GoodScience. Excellent …
: This is promising: you can run LLM inference and training on 13W of power. I’ve yet to read …
: Daniel Miessler suggests the Left is fueling Trump with a defeatist and anti-American narrative. I …
: The Shackles of Convenience, from Dan Miessler.
: Found an old tab with a reminder that misinfo isn’t just on the Right. I like being wrong?
: Chesterton - on The Family ❝ The best way that a man could test his readiness to encounter the common variety of mankind would …
: In praise of idleness - Bertrand Russel ❝ The modern man thinks that everything ought to be done for the sake of something else, and never …
: My neighbor’s astonishingly vivid azalea
: Starting Harrow by Tamsyn Muir. 📚
: Finished The Difficult Subject by (pen name) Molly Macallen, book 2 in the Maddy Shanks mystery …
: Wim Vanderbauwhede estimates ChatGPT uses ~60x as much energy as Google search. (Geometric mean of …
: “The first step is to draw a diagram. When you draw a diagram you’re loading it into your GPU. That …
: The analogical case with humans would be where established authors, for example, sued new and …
: ❝ Consider that Amazon has had to cap the number of self-published “books” an author can submit to …
: Infant Mortality & Decline of the West ❝ Infant mortality, the telltale metric that led him to predict the Soviet collapse half a century …
: ❝ this plutocratic assumption behind progressive fads An arresting phrase from Chesterton, …
: The greatest of these is Search A Berkeley Computer Science lab just uploaded “Approaching Human-Level Forecasting with …
: Alan Jacobs again: Hatred alone is immortal. Ah, the problem with the world. But Chesterton …
: ‘Speak when you are angry and you will make the best speech you will ever regret.’ – Ambrose Bierce
: ❝ For Ockham, the principle of simplicity limits the multiplication of hypotheses not necessarily …
: Bari Weiss: Why DEI Must End for Good I’m afraid she’s right. Worth watching or reading …
: The blurry JPEG ❝ LLMs aren't people, but they act a lot more like people than logical machines. ~Ethan Mollick …
: A few good things in psychology ❝ So if you hear that 60% of papers in your field don’t replicate, shouldn't you care a lot about …
: ❝ Would studies like this be better if they always did all their stats perfectly? Of course. But …
: Replication ❝ And that’s why mistakes had to be corrected. BASF fully recognized that Ostwald would be annoyed …
: A friend sent me 250th Anniversary Boston Tea Party tea for the 16th. The tea must be authentic: …
: Intelligible Failure Adam Russell created the DARPA SCORE replication project. Here he reflects on the importance of …
: Came across an older Alan Jacobs post: For those who have been formed largely by the mythical core …
: Today I listened to Sam Harris and read Alan Jacobs on Israel & Gaza. Highly recommended. (With …
: Huh. Moonlight is redder than sunlight. The “silvery moon” is an illusion. …
: This looks like a good way to appreciate the beautiful bright thing that periodically makes it hard …
: Do your own research Sabine Hossenfelder’s Do your own research… but do it right is an excellent guide to …
: Strong Towns & Ideological Purity Good essay by Peter Norton Why we need Strong Towns critiquing a Current Affairs piece by Allison …
: Essentialism In a recent newsletter, Jesse Singal notes that recent MAGA gains among Democratic constituencies …
: Unforced bias In The bias we swim in, Linda McIver notes: Recently I saw a post going around about how ChatGPT …
: Actual history (Cowen) Reflection for sheltered people like me: ❝ For my entire life, and a bit more, … …
: Alan Jacobs, The HedgeHog Review, “David Hume’s Guide to Social Media: Emancipation by the …
: Alan Jacobs reminds us to eschew easy opinions (re: Supreme court here): …
: …in which minutes are kept and hours are lost. 😉 Geol. Soc. of Wash. 1999
: AstralCodex on nerds and hipsters:
: Revisited my old post about reconstructing Syrotuck’s (lost) Lost Person Data. Mediocre …
: Bookmark: Haidt on Why the mental health of liberal girls sank first and fastest. Reverse CBT …
: Misunderstanding the replication crisis Based on the abstract, it seems Alexander Bird’s Understanding the replication crisis as a …
: LOTR Musing Fascinating discussion of Lord of the Rings: Adam Roberts musings on Denethor’s death sees a …
: Alan Jacobs on The sovereignty of mercy in Middle Earth (and beyond).
: I enjoyed this discussion of the John Snow cholera story, inspired by Christmas cookies. …
: To fix peer review, break it into stages, a short Nature opinion by Olava Amaral. Separate …
: We are what we ... ❝ We've always heard that we are what we eat. I think it's somewhat true of food, but even more so …
: Bookmark: Clean Code in Python by Nik Tomazik Clean Code by Robert Martin is Java-oriented. Tomazik …
: Well that’s cool. Gravitational lensing. Supernova at 3 stages of its life, all at once. …
: Interesting look at speed gains in Python 3.11, by Beshr Kayali. (Who has a microblog! …
: Sonnet against entropy Thanks to Ewan McNay for alerting me to this gem: The worm drives helically through the wood And …
: AI, Art, & Sadness Fascinating and sobering AI reflection by Daniel Miessler. AI Art is doing what we thought would …
: Prehistory of social media Kevin Driscoll’s Prehistory of social media is a lovely short reminder of the 2400 baud days. …
: STEM appeal ADSEI’s Linda McIver on swapping toy problems for real ones: ❝ I shifted the subject ... …
: The only way to win Janelle Shane on people hacking GPT-3 chatbots: A curious game, Dr. Falken…
: Alan Jacobs' Two versions of covid skepticism summarizes a longer piece by Madeleine Kearns. Both …
: Jacobs on LeGuin & forgiveness Art is only possible with freedom. Hyper-critical Jacobs on …
: Tolkein I really enjoyed the weaving of biography and lesser-known Middle Earth history in this Smithsonian …
: Alice Dreger reflects on two recent books, and on bookstores, “In sharp contrast to the social …
: Novelty Search and the Problem with Objectives , Lehman & Stanley, 2011. ❝ the more …
: I’ve had Alan Jacobs' self-understanding and resistance in a browser tab for awhile. …
: State Department & Intelligence CNN writes: Only one intelligence agency appears to have accurately predicted that the Ukrainian …
: ~From AI Weirdness [subscribers' …
: Moderate Manifesto How did I not hear about Strong Towns before? A short manifesto for engaged persuading. ❝ If you …
: Greenfield: Orwell diagnoses our culture wars ❝ Orwell, himself a socialist, argues first that "Socialism in its developed form is a theory …
: Ed Wright (d.2022) I turned to µ.blog this morning because my inbox told me a former colleague had died. I hadn’t …
: i’m not sure what this says about me other than gosh it was a nice day…
: Skywatching 🌌 New used scope 🔭 I had a lovely hour last night chasing the Orion Nebula with my 16yo at a local soccer field with …
: "Maybe crypto is best understood as a new set of incentives." ~Meissler I see crypto as dystopian by design, but Daniel Meissler’s re-imagining at least lets me …
: ❝ If you find you always agree with the liberal or conservative party, then that is your true …
: I signed into µ.blog to bookmark some tech piece and found instead that Paul Farmer has died.
: ❝ If you must write about us, at least give a damn about us, Sound advice from [Whitney Kimball …
: "We need to talk about Cosby" This seems so very Catholic: ❝ But as Bell’s wise documentary also makes clear, there wasn’t …
: Python Anti-Pattern: Default Mutable Arguments @SourceryAI found a bad habit I didn’t know I …
: ❝ When we’re good at participatory sense-making, we can become societies that support each member, …
: Alan Alda & Science Communication ❝ Wouldn’t it be nice if we could train scientists to be communicators and be personal like this …
: Periodically a song from “The Greatest Showman” is on my mental background music. I just …
: ❝ Debugging is twice as hard as writing the code in the first place. Therefore, if you write the …
: Bookmark: Alan Jacobs excerpting a recent Rowan Williams essay in The New Statesman. Education, …
: Dear Self: Remember periodically to reread Dorothy Bishop’s (@DeevyBee) recent reflection on …
: Huh! Quite OK Image compression provides a simple fast algorithm and format that seems to benchmark …
: ...much exaggerated. Headlines about the death of theory are philosopher clickbait. Fortunately Laura Spinney’s …
: Marvel’s The Eternals is not my favorite, but I’m liking it a bit more after Film Theory …
: Model Testing, Mayo, Fisher, Bickel Deborah Mayo has a new post on Model Testing and p-values vs. posteriors. I haven’t read …
: Leaky vax & evolution [swapped first two paragraphs; tweaks for clarity] So this Philosophy Stackexchange answer by …
: Discovered my new favorite Thanksgiving poem/prayer, from Malcom Guite: …
: Janelle Shane asks GPT-3 what else besides water to bring on a hike. More here
: Dashboards are the opposite. They’re often data, looking for a problem. ~Ben Stancil
: Like so many of his interviews, this with McChrystal looks fascinating. I found the beginning of the …
: Good essay. I did not know the tragic Aaron Swartz story. This struck me too: Perhaps the KGB would …
: Seems to me that claiming it’s “illegal and unconstitutional” to vax soldiers …
: readup.com “The Ancient Art of Using Time Well”
: Excellent 12-minute presentation & performance by Joy Buolamwini on AI bias. From 2019: …
: Hard to have nice things The mouseover for reviews on “Trusted [hah] Consumer Reviews”: <img …
: Voice for compassionate harm reduction “when truth itself has supply-chain problems.” readup.com …
: In the last couple of years I’ve discovered both Conversations with Tyler and Sullivan’s …
: Not Fully Vaccinated This is 5-10x more dramatic than I thought. About half of Virginians (~2/3 of adults) are fully …
: 🔖 Old-fashioned confusion, a forecasting blog by Foretell forecaster kojif.
: 🔖 Alan Jacobs' post, beats me. What he said. On the narrow point, there are risk-benefit analyses …
: ❝ the reality and importance of climate change does not ... excuse ... avoiding questions of …
: I love this Foretell comment:
: The Economist often has clever covers, but I really struggled to figure out the metaphor here. …
: Watching Sydney’s Delta cases repeat the early-phase exponential growth of Melbourne, …
: Acapella Science’s 🧬 Evo Devo is just so good. (So many others too.)
: The July 5 Lancet letter reaffirms the authors' earlier skeptical view of LabLeak. They cited some …
: Lates NAS newsletter quotes their outgoing editor, Daniel Saarewitz, from 25 years ago: “The …
: Link rot is worse than I thought. blog.ayjay.org/the-rotti… The full Atlantic article …
: Whimsical final slide for great USPTO talk by Wm. Carlson on Tesla & the social process of …
: Latest Analytic Insider asks how analysts can help reframe national conversations … around …
: A thought on the Parlour Game (Handfield) Toby Handfield mused on a philosopher requesting advice about an upcoming talk: I don’t know any of …
: CSET has noted that Chinese and US fighter pilots are losing to AI. Some of us were doing that back …
: Arnold Kling: 2021 book titles show epistemological crisis. This may fit with a historical pattern. …
: Jacobs' Heather Wishart interviews Gen. McChrystal on teams and innovation: I think our mindset …
: Pandas is wonderful, but Haki Benita reminds us it’s often better to aggregate in the database …
: Dan Miessler reflects on the value of shared culture: I think young men lacking a shared culture …
: David Peterson suggests metascience drop its implicit unity-of-science approach: If reformers want …
: On K-means Clustering hljs.highlightAll(); Background This was inspired by Paul Harrison’s (pfh’s) 2021 post, …
: Alan Jacobs today: Wondering … what to read? … Ask yourself one question: Does this …
: Vergangenheitsaufarbeitung “ The Germans decided that discomfort could make them stronger by creating guardrails …
: Measuring bot misinfo on facebook - DANMASK-19 Not exactly a surprise, but Ayers et al measure a …
: Re-updated CDC numbers, and self-critique. Re: earlier posts: The apparent discrepancy November/December discrepancy between higher …
: Periodically reread SlateStarCodex' A failure, but not of prediction. There is so much gold in …
: Finishing Off the Beaten Path by Gustavo Bondoni 📚 A delightful collection of SF/Fantasy stories …
: Currently reading: Breaking Bread with the Dead by Alan Jacobs (µblog @ayday) 📚
: Bias and Noise A clear essay by Kahneman, Sibony, & Sunstein. Executives in the insurance …
: In a long post on sustained irrationality in the markets, Vitalik Buterin describes his experience …
: Readibility or performance? In How performance became the nemesis of secure Python code, Dima Kotik …
: Broniatowski on why I fail. Also, ending the pandemic. Yesterday I commented on a cousin’s post sharing a claim about 9 reported child vaccine …
: Airborne / VAERS Thanks to Mike Bishop for alerting me to Jiminez' 100-tweet thread and Lancet paper on the case for …
: Fact-checking win Surprisingly, fact-checking prompted Iran’s Supreme Leader to retract his mistaken claim about …
: …we are left with the problem that… Social scientists think of themselves as …
: Avoiding the High Cost of Peer Review Failures Wilderness & Environmental Medicine’s editor Neil Pollock frequently writes an …
: Flu has nearly disappeared worldwide durin the COVID pandemic The distancing measures to prevent …
: Wellerstein on nuclear secrecy: Interview in Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists about his new book 📚 Restricted Data. A thoughtful, …
: Predicting replicability: scientists are 73% accurate Congratulations to Michael Gordon et al for their paper in PLoS One! This paper combines the results …
: Sullivan compares COVID to AIDS, Camus, and . One person thinking through what vaccination & far …
: Ben Kuo saved a life using Google Earth and clear thinking. www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle…
: An image of West Coast data science: I keep climbing the leaderboard! … Life is pretty …
: Fantastic Anachronism Q1 2021 I continue to be astonished by how much “Alvaro de Menard” reads. See his Q1 2021 links …
: www.economist.com A big reason spelling systems never seem to get overhauled in more liberal …
: www.economist.com Neither are face-recognition systems or sentencing software bought by those who …
: Emotional Epidemiology In this letter, Heidi Larson & David Broniatowski argue that, vaccine hesitancy is not the same …
: Volcano, and other links I have lost more time than I care to admit watching the volcano in Geldingsadalur. It’s …
: I’m sorry to say I found this reflection by Adam Briggle almost entirely uninteresting. Of …
: Brand defense; vendoring culture; memory & notes In biographies and brands, after some clear examples Jacobs notes that many accusations of …
: COVID19 Origins Debate | Metaforecast HTT Nuño Sempere’s January forecasting newsletter. And be sure to check out his marvelous …
: Excel error kills 1,500 The Excel row-limit inadvertently prevented contact tracing for two weeks in the UK, causing a …
: SAT, Psychic AI, Seuss Sullivan on SAT Killing the SAT Means Hurting Minorities While I’m thinking of Sullivan, this …
: Health literacy Worth remembering: “Among the people I work with in medical schools, there’s a strong adherence to …
: AJ on Impermanence Key quotes from this post: Snell: incompatibility comes for every abandoned app eventually Rendle: …
: AJ on Conservatism Inc., +more Worth reading in entirety, Alan Jacobs reflects on an essay by Douthat: Such a system, predictably, …
: Stop Thinking & Get Certified Slogan on an ad for scrum training. Featured in the the 2015 talk “Agile is Dead”. Dave …
: Gelman on Bad Science for Good Gelman’s recent short post on Relevance of Bad Science for Good Science includes a handy Top10 …
: US Insurrectionist Movement? January 6 moved Randy Pherson at Globalytica to ask if there is an active insurrectionist movement …
: What is your theory, again? Just re-found this @ayjay essay in an old tab. The question I would ask churches that are …
: Kasparov vs Deep Blue, & techno-determinism too Writing for IEEE Spectrum, Joanna Goodrich says that Deep Blue beat Kasparov because was just so …
: My People Sam Rocha, In America Magazine
: Well, this seems backwards. Hopefully Janelle Shane will have a delightful and silly riposte. …
: Huh. My age group (45+) has about 25% more deaths this year - roughly the same excess % as for 85+. …
: Updated CDC numbers CDC total deaths snapshot: December weekly #s gained about 4,500 vs. two weeks ago: there are now 4 …
: “Either we can all be cold… or we can live in Florida.”
: The thing I read today was Yudkowsky on r/WallStreetBets - I did not know that.
: Ritchie on Sloppy Pandemic Science Essay worth reading in its entirety: The Great Reinforcer by Stuart Ritchie. To be sure, out of the …
: It seems flu counts really are extraordinarily low. Sure, we’re missing cases because people …
: A good column by our SVP for technology & innovation.
: This was a sobering take on possible downsides of Universal Basic Income. HTT Bryan Caplan.
: Commie Vaccine Meteors A friend notes that the US has a long of equating vaccines and public health with commie …
: So, we tried this. It’s good, though a bit sweeter than I was wanting today. Fun! …
: Bookmarking A methodology for agile data science by Edwin Thoen (ch.5 of Agile Data Science with R). …
: Bookmarking Why Kanban for data science. Two core issues: …tasks have uncertain outcomes …
: Prayers of the Faithful [Edited 2021-02-02 to shorten and include Alexis' suggestion. -crt] [2021-05-23 Updated the CDC …
: Immortal time bias A subtle trap in treatment studies. I hadn’t heard of it, and had to follow …
: Don't do cryptocurrency It seems like the current crypto market may be a giant fraud. This fits my mildly informed …
: Antifa, q, redirect, big tech Just capturing a facebook post (screenshot) - I went into the internet archive to see what used to …
: Opportunity costs. What would happen if the Dems made a strategic compromise on Roe v Wade? If you were Biden, what …
: Wrong About The winner of the Metaculus Li-Wenliang COVID-19 forecasting tournament was wrong about …
: Monk on American Democracy Aristotle argued that an enduring republic required a balance between democracy (popular …
: From Pale Rider, Afterword: …and novelists try to put themselves [in] the heads of those who …
: Monk on China Conspiracy Theories - April 2020 I was reviewing this old interview with Australia’s Paul Monk, covering Coronavirus, China, …
: A touching, real conversation on faith, death, grief, culture wars, the Christmas season, …
: I’m not a fan of the XKCD “free speech” strip. I think it fails the reflexivity …
: Another great piece at Fantastic Anachronism: Are Experts Real. I hadn’t heard about N=59. 😱 …
: More vs Slack In Slack and Zoom were distracting…, John Lacy notes: We found that asynchronous communication …
: Sitting at a desk all day, it’s easy to start feeling like a brainless polyp Walking as as …
: Richard Hanania: A remarkably high percentage of bad economic takes can be attributed to people …
: A Covid Puzzle Resolved In a discussion with @Somensi about excess deaths, I was puzzled by an apparent discrepancy between …
: Concentrate An essay by Grand Master Jonathan Rowan, courtesy of Readup. But, most of all, I miss …
: e.e. cummings “next to of course god america i love you land of the pilgrims’ and so forth oh say can you see …
: Sounds like a fun blog, just shouldn’t be masquerading as a journal. …
: Herzog & Sullivan: Where Have All the Lesbians Gone? Instead of saying, “I’m a woman and I reject gender roles,” NB ideology says, in effect, “I reject …
: The Dish Podcast Excellent discussion between Sullivan and Yglesias. Had to grit my teeth through some of Yglesias’ …
: Cited in a Gelman piece, sort-of Our July paper Are replication rates the same across academic fields? Community forecasts from the …
: Acta Scientifica... …is so desperate they solicit my “unpublished rhetoric” for the next issue. I would …
: Optimizing Pandas A clear and compelling example of vectorizing pandas code for 1700x speedup.
: Recent climate thread by the always wonderful @KHayhoe, responding to the usual. Good videos too. …
: xkcd.com/808/ “Eventually, arguing that thesee things work means arguing that modern capitalism …
: I’m not sure “reblog” is a thin in µ.blog, but: social.ayjay.org/2020/11/0… …
: Ten Thousand xkcd.com/1053/ That said, watching the US President have dozens of these moments as he …
: Sometimes in the evening, I return to do some work. But it’s late and hard to focus. I begin …
: Base Rates www.smbc-comics.com/comic/ris… HTT @rplzzz
: 🗓🖋#mbnov ‘’Once upon a planet dreary / Came a rocket engine cheery / On a flight to test a theory / …
: @ayjay on children's crusades This got my attention both because of its current echoes and because he’s right - I’ve …
: Not Even Wrong l’ve seen some of the bizarre papers described in Maddie Blender’s article in Vice. …
: Paper in a Day (@DevyBee) Dorothy Bishop, The Paper-in-a-Day Approach describes a once-a-year exercise her lab does to do a …
: Hubble bias When the Hubble Space Telescope allocation team launched dual-anonymous peer review for Hubble …
: Betteridge’s law of headlines: “Any headline that ends in a question mark can be …
: How replicable is ecology? Good summary by Jeremy Fox of Alvaro’s post, with a (closed) poll, …
: C.S. Lewis on Outrage 📚💬 Suppose one reads a story of filthy atrocities in the paper. Then suppose that something turns up …
: Listening to Burnout discussion by authors Emily Nagoski and Amelia Nagoski on Brené Brown. 📚💬 In …
: Andrew Sullivan on Algorithms vs. Democracy From his essay We Are All Algorithms Now. Don’t get your news from social media. For Facebook …
: Epistemic Humility: COVID19 A refreshing disclaimer from yesterday’s BMJ: Covid-19’s known unknowns Competing …
: Linda Fallacy? Proposed Constitutional Amendments (VA) QUESTION 2: Should an automobile or pickup …
: Vox article on Replication & Replication Markets Vox’s Kelsey Piper discusses the replication crisis in “Future Perfect" this week, …
: Ode to our forecasters: What a Year! 54K surveys, 42K trades, 3K claims; Dedicated ‘casters, …
: I reviewed the Watanabe manuscript. I think it’s worth a follow-up. Am I missing something? …
: This sounds fantastic. Why haven’t I done this? www.natureindex.com/news-blog…
: Karl Popper on Social Media As for Adler, I was much impressed by a personal experience. Once, in …
: Saturn. First attempt, just holding my iphone near the eyepiece and clicking photos until one …
: Science is getting harder to read. More jargon, more acronyms, worse writing. All those reduce …
: New PDF compares accuracy of 7 key #COVID-19 models. On mean absolute % error for total deaths …
: Of the various kinds of misinformation during this pandemic, at least I was spared relatives touting …
: Short well-written plea to actually read the article. I’ve been trying Readup, which is like a …
: Solitude and Leadership, by Deresiewicz Solitude and Leadership By William Deresiewicz | March 1, 2010 Reminders for my increasingly …
: Estrogen, COVID-19, and Rapid Reviews In my day, philosophers encountered birth control pills at least twice during training. First and …
: What is a replication In a recent Nature essay urging pre-registering replications, Brian Nosek and Tim Errington note: …
: What is the purpose of retraction? Clearly it’s appropriate in cases of fraud or negligence. …
: Retractable masks? [In a piece about about masks] …
: For COVID forecasting, remember the superforecasters at Good Judgment. Currently placing US deaths …
: Alan Jacobs with a cautionary tale about assuming news is representative of reality, and remembering …
: Protests and COVID Worried about #COVID, I did not join #BLM protests. Even if outdoors + masks, marches bunch up, …
: Good news: Despite case rise, excess deaths have been dropping, nearly back to 100% after high 142%. …
: I saw my old and much-loved Monash colleague #”ChrisWallace” …
: Open access is good, unless you're a journal? Bob Horn sent me this news in Nature NEWS 16 JULY 2020 Open-access Plan S to allow publishing in …
: AI Bias Dr. Rachel Thomas writes, When we think about AI, we need to think about complicated real-world …
: Rapid Reviews: COVID-19 The announcement of RR:C19 seems a critical step forward. Similar to Hopkins' Novel Coronavirus …
: Unsurprisingly, popular media is more popular: A new study finds that “peer-reviewed …
: PDF: Systematically, the NYT COVID-19 counts are high, & CovidTracker’s low. Two more in …
: From @Broniatowski: Postdoc with the MOSI project at the Institute for Data Democracy & Politics …
: Old tabs: found a nice recommendation from one of our @replicationmarkets forecasters, on their …
: A solid Rodney Brooks essay on peer review value and flaws, from inside. No solution, but worth …
: I’m not accustomed to saying anything with certainty after only one or two observations. …
: PDF: US intervention timing simulations using county-level & mobility data: “had these …
: PDF: Simulation: age separation reduced C19 mortality even fixing interactions. “Separating …
: New short PDF Heparin and C19 reviews ~2K Spanish C19 patients. Heparin halved mortality after …
: A few COVID-19 PDFs A non-random sample of new PDFs whose titles caught my eye yesterday. Based on a quick scan, so I …
: Oops: - ‘astonishingly, the forensic medical professional had not died at all. [And] they “do …
: Innumeracy: In mid-Feb I sent my team home due to C19 worries. ~1week later someone at the office …
: Grumpy Geophysicist argues against public preprint servers. Confirmation bias is a risk within the …
: Pro-active Replication Science Is Hard Nature Communications has an inspiring piece about a DARPA project baking …
: Aschwanden's teaser subtitle: wisdom in the scientific crowd Science writer Christine Aschwanden (@cragcrest) just published a nice summary of the October paper …
: Horse betting and @ReplicationMkts A friend sent a May 2018 Bloomberg article by Kit Chellel, “The gambler who cracked the horse-racing …
: Greenland on Cognition, Causality, and Statistics Sander Greenland argues that all mistakes of P-values will be reproduced in any other method, …
: Happy to hear “diversity of thought” called out early in today’s “Inclusive Leaders” training at …