The apparent discrepancy November/December discrepancy between higher CovidTracking counts (COVID19 deaths) and lower CDC official excess death counts has essentially vanished.
The actual excess deaths amount to +6,500 per week for December. There was just a lot of lag.
I give myself some credit for considering that I might be in a bubble, that my faith in the two reporting systems might be too strong misplaced, and looking for alternate explanations.
But in the end I was too timid in their defense: I thought only about 5K of the 7K discrepancy would be lag, and that we would see a larger role of harvesting, for example.
